WirePlayers Derby Dozen Volume III

Like a classic Playboy centerfold, our list of Kentucky Derby contenders is a bit top-heavy. Dortmund, American Pharoah, and Carpe Diem seem like world beaters with impressive, if not gaudy records. Next we have several contenders seemingly a cut below. The question is whether you buy into that line of thought or not. A few of our voters clearly do not and that’s reflected on their ballots and comments. The Derby presents a terrific puzzle to be solved; and those with the correct answer shall be richly rewarded.

Here’s the brainpower the Derby Dozen:
Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation
Rob from Amateurcapper
Nicolle Neulist
Geno from EquiSpace
The Turk
Tencentcielo
Tony Bada Bing from Horse Racing Nation
Paul Mazur
Dylan Jarmulowicz
Andrew Mangini
Melissa Nolan

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | Comments Off

WirePlayers Derby Dozen Volume II – Just Getting Good

It’s t-minus 45 days till Derby 2015 and it’s far from over in trying to dope out the top contenders (and sleepers). In the three weeks since our last poll not much changed at the top, but American Pharoah and Carpe Diem made major moves up the ladder. Ocean Knight and Ocho Ocho Ocho disappointed mightily last time out and fell off our list completely so we called up Prospect Park and Far Right from the J.V.

Based on the voting and our panelists’ comments there’s a difference of opinion as to whether American Pharoah is the real deal or simply used his high cruising gear to dominate an overmatched field of lightweights (or, as Dylan put it, “a quality field of maiden breakers”). Well, with the marquee Grade 1 Derby preps around the corner we’ll have a better idea of who’s who and what’s what. Until next time, enjoy the Dozen (individual ballots):

Here’s the brainpower the Derby Dozen:
Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation
Rob from Amateurcapper
Nicolle Neulist
Geno from EquiSpace
The Turk
Tencentcielo
Tony Bada Bing from Horse Racing Nation
Paul Mazur
Dylan Jarmulowicz
Andrew Mangini
Melissa Nolan

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | Comments Off

Playing Possum Gotham

Living in the megalopolis this winter has been absolutely brutal, same goes for winter racing at NYRA. Aqueduct has once again been dead all week as NYRA cancelled Thursday and Friday racing, but, Saturday offers hope as the weather looks good for racing to resume. Saturday is the biggest day of racing during the Inner Track meet with three stakes, a big pick six carryover and the feature 400k Grade III Gotham Stakes. The field features 10 three year-olds battling for valuable Kentucky Derby points in this prep race for next month’s Wood Memorial.

#4 EL KABEIR is the 8/5 morning line favorite in this race and may go off even shorter than that. To like him (especially at that price), you have to ask yourself a question. Was dueling with #3 CLASSY CLASS (7/2) the reason he lost to Far From Over in the Withers Stakes, who completely stumbled at the start and ran one hell of a race or is it that EL KABEIR is better off going shorter and around one turn? I think it’s the latter; he looks like a 7 furlong/1 turn mile horse to me. Do not get me wrong, I think he’s a good horse and will win some big stakes this summer, but it won’t be going this far and especially around two turns.

The two I’m going to play in this race is CLASSY CLASS and #8 TENCENDUR (8-1). CLASSY CLASS dueled the whole way last time and this race has more speed than the Withers. So jockey Junior Alvarado should let them go and sit a close up third or fourth and make one run around the far turn. He made a nice run like that breaking his maiden last fall at Belmont Park. TENCENDUR is interesting at a price for trainer George Weaver. He finished fourth in the Withers beaten only 4 lengths at big odds. He seems like a classic Weaver horse who keeps improving with each start while moving up in class. He made a nice move in breaking his maiden, then in his next start runs in a stakes race and outran his odds. I would not be surprised if he was to get a piece in this race.

Good Luck!

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , | Comments Off

WirePlayers Derby Dozen Volume I

Sure it’s cold and there’s snow covering most of the country, but spring is just around the corner and they’ll be loading the gate for Kentucky Derby #141 in 65 days. You heard me, 65 days! That means it’s time we get off our lazy duffs and put together a list of Derby contenders. If we didn’t, then how would millions of people across the land know how to waste their hard earned cash on Derby future wager pool #3 this weekend?

Every three weeks we’ll rank the top 12 Derby contenders as voted on by 12 Derby enthusiasts from across the Twitter and Blog lands. Most of our voters are seasoned Derby Dozen veterans, but we’d like to offer a warm welcome to Nicolle Neulist who replaces my long time friend and all around good dude Derek Brown (word has it, Derek is working on a new project that includes building up a trendy cocktail lounge empire in Washington DC; but I could be wrong). It’s nice to see Nicolle come out the gate fast and fearless with some bold opinions. Now if only her highest ranked Derby contender KEEN ICE started his races that way (individual ballots).

We present to you Volume I and guess what, we have a tie for 1st!

Here’s the brainpower the Derby Dozen:
Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation
Rob from Amateurcapper
Nicolle Neulist
Geno from EquiSpace
The Turk
Tencentcielo
Tony Bada Bing from Horse Racing Nation
Paul Mazur
Dylan Jarmulowicz
Andrew Mangini
Melissa Nolan

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Steward’s Corner

This past weekend at Gulfstream Park there were a few decisions that occurred off the racetrack that profoundly affected the racing results. Before going any further, I want to preface that I know racing stewards have a tough job, just like any official in organized sports. This just stood out as something more than a tough day at the office. In Saturday’s Fountain of Youth Stakes, Upstart was disqualified after a steward’s inquiry and jockey objection for interference during the stretch run. In reviewing the replays, especially the head on view, it looked clear to me and many others I know, that the inside horse, Frosted, clearly lugged out, which in turn caused Upstart to waver out and “apparently” interfered with Itsaknockout.

In my opinion, Upstart was moving best of all and was influenced out by Frosted who started the chain reaction. The rider of Itsaknockout (Luis Saez), also may have been attempting to win an Academy Award as he stopped riding, seemingly baiting the stewards into making the eventual disqualification and change in order of finish. My point is that officials are important and a part of the game, however; the product of racing shouldn’t be dictated by the calls officials make. Just like in Major League Baseball, umpires are human, they make mistakes but you never want a game to be remembered by an umpires call.

Don Denkinger was a great umpire, but one missed call in the 1985 World Series led him to be remembered for all the wrong reasons. Denkinger may have gotten the call wrong, but he did not cause the St. Louis Cardinals to miss an easy catch on foul out and other subsequent plays that gave the game to the Kansas City Royals and eventually the win in the 1985 World Series.

Most fans just want the officiating to be consistent through the duration of a game. Whether it’s the physicality of a hockey hit, or the strike zone in baseball, just be consistent with the calls. Upstart got disqualified, ok, fine (agree with it or not). Then in the very next race the inside horse made contact twice with the outside horse, while lugging out badly down the stretch and after another review the results stand? These seemingly arbitrary decisions send mixed messages to the public and it has nothing to do with cashing tickets, it takes away from our ability to love and enjoy the sport for its own sake. Is a little consistency too much to ask?! We love racing and want to see fair results; cashing tickets are just a byproduct. Let racing be about the horses on the track and not the stewards in the press box.

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Comments Off

Upstart the Youths and Fountains at Gulfstream

While some of us are frosted (pun intended) here in the Northeast, it’s warm and sunny down in Florida at Gulfstream Park. Saturday’s card will feature the Grade II, $400k Fountain of Youth Stakes, their local prep race for the Florida Derby. The field of eight can be categorized into two groups, Upstart and all the rest.

Race 11 – 8.5 Furlongs (1 & 1/16ths Miles) Post Time – 5:30pm (Eastern)

Advance Weather: Party Cloudy, 70s

The race will likely have two clear betting choices in #6 FROSTED (5/2) and #7 UPSTART (8/5). UPSTART was super impressive in the Holy Bull Stakes last month, where he drew off in the stretch defeating FROSTED and #2 BLUEGRASS SINGER (8-1) rather convincingly. I played against FROSTED in the Holy Bull and I really cannot see playing him today either. UPSTART has been training well and is the unquestioned horse to beat in this race. Trying to find value horses to fill out exotic wagers however, is kind of confusing.

Starting with #4 GORGEOUS BIRD (6-1), he looked good in an optional 75k claimer on the Holy Bull under-card. Who he beat in that race cannot compare to this field and connections tend to spot their horses aggressively. There were two Todd Pletcher horses in that aforementioned race that were co-favored and did not run a step. Speaking of Pletcher, he has #5 ITSAKNOCKOUT (5-1) but neither of his first call riders (Javier Castellano or John Velazquez) is aboard. Luis Saez retains the mount and will have to negotiate two turns for the first time at a likely shorter than appetizing price. Finally, BLUEGRASS SINGER is probably better going around one turn but ran a respectable third last time out.

My Plays:

Win: 7

Trifecta: 7/4,5,6/4,5,6

Good Luck!

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Comments Off

Presidents’ Day Payday – Grade III General George Handicap

After a bit of a hiatus, Dylan is back on WirePlayers with a preview of tomorrow’s General George Handicap.

There are a few good stakes around the country Monday as we celebrate Presidents’ Day. However, the best one is the 39th renewal of the 7 furlong, $250k General George Handicap at Laurel Park. It is one of the busiest days of the Laurel meet along with the De Francis Memorial Dash in the fall. The race has a good mix of local veterans and invaders shipping from New York, Pennsylvania and California.

Let’s start handicapping with last year’s De Francis Dash winner, #5 ZEE BROS (7/2). While I like him as a racehorse, I do not think this middle distance of seven furlongs suits him best. You can argue the last race was a designed prep, cutting back to this distance but at a short price, I’ll let him beat me.

#1 BOURBON COURAGE (5/2) is the likely favorite and is very similar to ZEE BROS. He is an honest horse, but does not win an awful lot, just once in the last two years (13 Starts). You can argue that he has faced the toughest company but I’m not sure seven furlongs is his best game. I will however, play him underneath in my exotics as he has too much back class.

My top picks in this race are #2 MISCONNECT (10-1), #6 BIG BUSINESS (6-1), and #8 CUTTY SHARK (12-1).

On paper, it looks like #4 SMASH AND GRAB (8-1) is going to go early. MISCONNECT has speed to put himself in the game and does not need the lead to win. He should sit a nice spot close up and is a monster at this specialty distance (two wins and a place in three races). BIG BUSINESS is my top pick in this race. Other than the Cigar Mile, he is right there in every race against very good company while being stuck out wide every time. Finally, locally based trainer Donald Barr sends out CUTTY SHARK whose versatile running style is intriguing at a price. He loves the Laurel surface and is proven at this distance going around one and two turns. Looking at his races, he is always driving late and determined to give it all. Donald Barr is a trainer I really respect and think is vastly underrated. His horses are also running really well so far this year (winning at 29%).

My Plays:
Exacta Box: 2,6,8
Exacta: 2,6,8/1
Trifecta: 2,6,8/1,2,6,8/1,2,6,8

Good Luck!

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Comments Off

I’m Bringing New People to the Racetrack, For Science

As we in the recluse community like to say (I assume, having not attended any of the meetings) “it’s terrifying out there.” But I’ve always considered the racetrack an isthmus of serenity. I typically run into my friends there and steal their picks for financial gain. This is one of the nuances of maintaining complicated friendships.

But I can do more. I can take my ambassadorship for the game further. So next Saturday I will be bringing two people to Saratoga that have never been to the racetrack before. Having completed high school science twice—once during the summer under unrealistic expectations—I feel that I have a solid grasp of running an experiment to determine how the next generation of potential fans experience the races.

As with any study that will be subject to peer review, one of the participants will be the control group. I’m not sure what that will entail yet, but they will be clearly identified by a sandwich board that reads “control.” I hope that will lead to interactions that will serve the racing fan science community for years to come.

I will also maintain strict confidentiality of the participants. Real names will be protected, so lets call them Spaul and Spacey. They represent an accurate and diverse cross section of society, pulled from the sub demographic pool of people that respond to my texts and have cars.

The inquisitive nature and eagerness of the participants has already been demonstrated. This morning I received no fewer than three messages saying “it’s next Saturday?” and “can I wear sweats?”

I was hoping they would get to experience the return of Wise Dan, to add a historical element to the experiment. It’s probably just as well. I am no position to explain colic.

So please, when you see my study participants at Saratoga next Saturday, act as you normally would. Authenticity is key. They are being closely monitored, so please do not feed them. Also, I promised them Shake Shack so I don’t want their appetites spoiled.

However, by all means help them handicap, but please don’t attempt to explain anything that happened in racing prior to 2014. These guys have the attention span of gnats.

Originally posted on Medium.

Share
Posted in Horse Racing, Our Philosophy | Tagged , , | Comments Off

The Grade 1 Belmont Stakes: Let’s Hope I’m Wrong Again

What can I tell you that you don’t already know? We’ve had three weeks to pour over the data, watch the replays, debate the “what if” scenarios and stay up late to watch the Social Inclusion midnight press conference. That whole “will he, won’t he, who cares?” narrative was maybe the fifth strangest storyline of the weeks leading up to CALIFORNIA CHROME’s Triple Crown attempt.

It wasn’t like this when Smarty Jones, or even Big Brown, ran. Sure, BYO alcohol policies were more lax and there was just something about the connections of Big Brown that people couldn’t get behind. Turns out there were a lot of things, but we had moved on well before those came to light

Blame Twitter, prescription medications in our water, the lack of violent horse racing video games, but my internal monologue has transitioned from once coherent, linear thoughts to a constant, high-pitched scream. So it’s been hard to focus. But this is still a horse race and I’m still a handicapper. Fortunately, if you’ve followed my posts here or at various other credible, free online media outlets, you know that I am pretty horrible with the picks I give out. And believe me, you guys aren’t missing much. There’s no grift where I give out consistently terrible picks and quietly profit on the “real” bets somewhere else.

Remember last year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf? I gave out the exacta and trifecta and if you played it you still lost money. Obviously you are all very smart handicappers, or at least know where to find credible advice. My ROI is negative one million. I’m okay with that and it should make you feel better about disregarding my picks whenever you see them.

You know the drill, there’s CALIFORNIA CHROME and everyone else. I have a hard time separating everyone else and I’m honestly amazed that one of these horses will run second. But there’s another part of the drill. A deep, quiet part of us that slips away to stash a few sips of self-loathing in a bottle. It’s a horse race and there is money to be made. I say, play with conviction. If you like CALIFORNIA CHROME, play him in exacta combinations with no more than two other horses. The deeper you go, the harder it becomes to turn a profit. Find value somewhere else in the multi-race sequences.

The best advice – and this is for any race – is if you liked a horse once, play him back when you like him least. I liked MEDAL COUNT in the Toyota Bluegrass and the Kentucky Derby. How stupid would I feel if he beat me in the Belmont? Also, and facts may prove me wrong again, it seems like wagering on the Belmont does not reward the obvious. So the second choice or flashy newcomer as an upset possibility feels the most unlikely of the potential scenarios.

Find your MEDAL COUNT. That’s really all I can suggest. But also find one other horse that would surprise you the third least if they won. For me, that’s WICKED STRONG, and he moves up the absurd angle ladder because I liked him in a race earlier this year.

$100 BANKROLL PLAYS:

$10 Win CALIFORNIA CHROME (Souvenir factor trumps all)

$25 Exacta: CALIFORNIA CHROME/MEDAL COUNT, WICKED STRONG

$5 Trifecta: MEDAL COUNT, WICKED STRONG/MEDAL COUNT, CALIFORNIA CHROME, WICKED STRONG/MEDAL COUNT, CALIFORNIA CHROME, RIDE ON CURLIN, WICKED STRONG

Originally posted at ThoroFan.

Share
Posted in Handicapping, Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | Comments Off

Triple Crown Threats Since 1978

Summary of past 11 Triple Crown attempts since Affirmed won in 1978.

Previous Eleven Triple Crown Attempts

Year Derby / Preakness Winner Post Time Odds Finish Belmont Winner Post Time Odds Field Size
1979 Spectacular Bid 3/10 3rd Coastal 9/2 8
1981 Pleasant Colony 4/5 3rd Summing 8-1 11
1987 Alysheba 4/5 4th Bet Twice 8-1 9
1989 Sunday Silence 9/10 2nd Easy Goer 3/2 10
1997 Silver Charm Even 2nd Touch Gold 5/2 7
1998 Real Quiet 4/5 2nd Victory Gallop 9/2 11
1999 Charismatic 3/2 3rd Lemon Drop Kid 30-1 12
2002 War Problem 6/5 8th Sarava 70-1 11
2003 Funny Cide Even 3rd Empire Maker 2-1 6
2004 Smarty Jones 2/5 2nd Birdstone 38-1 9
2008 Big Brown 3/10 DNF Da' Tara 38-1 9

Nobody knows for sure how likely California Chrome’s chances are to win the Belmont Stakes, the final jewel of horse racing’s Triple Crown. If you believe the hype his chances are pretty damn good and he’s certain to go off at odds on. If you review the table above, you’ll see his task is incredibly daunting. Which would of course make a California Chrome victory on Saturday all the more impressive.

He could very well be a special horse that comes around once every few decades. Or not. One of the many things that make horse racing so enthralling is it’s natural unpredictability. While this weekend there will be money won and lost by serious handicappers and casual fans alike, I encourage everyone to step back and savor the anticipation, the excitement, and relish in the unexpected.

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , | Comments Off

“You Are Looking Live” At WirePlayers Derby Dozen V

Derby weekend is finally upon us. There’s one clear cut favorite and by 6:30pm Saturday we’ll know if he’s the real deal. While California Chrome certainly appears formidable, rule #1 of handicapping is never take a short price on a horse doing something they’ve never done before. To my knowledge, California Chrome has never run in a 20-horse field, never run 10 furlongs, and never shipped outside the State of California. Those aren’t meant to be knocks because all these horses are running in unchartered territory; some just offer more betting value than others.

If you want to see what our panel thinks about Saturday’s big race, look no further than our final Derby Dozen poll. I offer a HUGE thanks to our expert panel (and you can see their ballots here) for guiding us through another fun-filled Derby prep season!

The WirePlayers blog is powered by Liege waffles, Caol Ila, and dreams of 50 cent Pick 4s. But it’s these fine individuals who provide the true horsepower behind the Derby Dozen:
Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation
Rob from Amateurcapper
Derek Brown
Geno from EquiSpace
The Turk
Tencentcielo
Tony Bada Bing from Horse Racing Nation
Paul Mazur
Dylan Jarmulowicz
Andrew Mangini
Melissa Nolan

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Registering Some Displeasure

If you’ve followed the exploits of Churchill Downs’ leadership you may think they’re the root of all evil. They raised takeout on bettors (while reportedly paying senior management hefty salaries), they jack up Derby ticket prices to ungodly amounts and won’t even comp seats to owners with horses in stakes races; they let the Fair Grounds turf course go all to hell; they run Miami’s Calder meet concurrent with Gulfstream Park located just across town; they’re feuding with the Las Vegas sports books (by squeezing them out of a few percentage points) which may leave bettors in Vegas SOL on Derby Day; and years ago they sold historic Hollywood Park to a real estate company they knew would eventually raze it and build a strip mall. And now we hear they don’t provide accessible parking to a paralyzed Hall of Fame, Triple Crown winning jockey.

Given this behavior, some may be inclined to boycott betting the Kentucky Derby entirely. However, large pools filled with money bet by rich drunken fools provide tremendous betting opportunities. Sure, higher takeout will grind out losses over time, but payouts on Derby weekend can not only be “day makers” but “year makers” so let’s not cut off our noses to spite our face.

So what is an appropriate way to register ones displeasure? Well, if you find yourself at Churchill Downs this weekend in front of a free buffet and open bar, how about gorging yourself in shrimp cocktail and drinking your weight in Mint Juleps. If by the end of the day you’re feeling sick to your stomach, just look for the nicest rug in the clubhouse on which to spill your guts. Now take that Churchill!

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Comments Off

The Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) – I Need a Gala

The 2014 Kentucky Derby trail has been one of the stranger ones in recent memory so it seems fitting that the final running of the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes on Keeneland’s Polytrack is a head scratcher.

#3 BOBBY’S KITTEN is a deserving favorite and has yet to run a bad race. He does tend to be very headstong in his races and I have concerns about his ability to rate and close into what looks on paper to be a quick early pace. He’s worth using, but only defensively.

The horse with the most upside from a betting perspective looks to be #14 GALA AWARD. He’s less than a length from being undefeated in three route races. Granted, they have all been on turf and against significantly lower quality competition than BOBBY’S KITTEN. But he appears to be more versatile from a pace perspective and his last two wins have come from outside posts.

His stablemate, #12 VINCEREMOS, appears to be the main threat. His pedigree also suggests that the distance and surface won’t be a problem, even though it’s his first time on Polytrack. He ran well enough in the Tampa Bay Derby to finish second after winning the Sam F. Davis in a gutsy performance. Tampa is a strange surface that not every horse thrives over, so when good horses can consistently run well over it that form is likely to translate to other surfaces.

#11 COASTLINE feels like the wildcard. He’s been trounced by better horses, but those races have come over conventional dirt. His Polytrack races have been superior, though, and Stewart Elliot is riding very well at Keeneland. It’s tough to see this guy winning, but he seems like a horse that will be in the mix at the end.

#8 DANCE WITH FATE has received a lot of buzz in social media after the connections said this was the race they were pointing to for months. He’s obviously better over synthetic surfaces, but I just don’t see him as a factor on Saturday.

The longshot that has the most potential to blow up the tote board looks to be #6 COLTIMUS PRIME. There’s not much to like on paper, aside from the fact that his best race was a close second in a 8 1/2-furlong stake over Woodbine’s Polytrack. Connections likely have their eyes on the Queen’s Plate, rather than the Kentucky Derby, so this will be the acid test for this enormous son of Milwaukee Brew. Did I mention he’s huge? Also, jockey Alan Garcia always seems to sneak up and win big races like this. I’m taking a small flyer in case he blows up all my other tickets.

$50 BANKROLL PLAYS:

$10 Win:  GALA AWARD

$5 Win/Place: COLTIMUS PRIME

$5 Exacta: VINCEREMOS, GALA AWARD/BOBBY’S KITTEN, COASTLINE, VINCEREMOS, GALA AWARD

Originally posted at ThoroFan.

Share
Posted in Handicapping, Horse Racing | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off

WirePlayers Derby Dozen IV – And Just One More

With the final meaningful prep races occurring this weekend, here’s our penultimate ranking of Kentucky Derby contenders. Off a blistering performance in the Santa Anita Derby, California Chrome is the clear cut favorite garnering 5 first place votes. Tapiture received 2 first place votes and Wicked Strong had one. Interestingly, despite having a measly 9 Derby points, Conquest Titan picked up first place votes from two very loyal souls (one of which is your truly). My theory: Conquest Titan’s lackluster performance at Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay Downs can be excused due to quirky racing surfaces that did not suit his running style. After all, Wicked Strong’s breakout performance in the Wood Memorial, after getting trounced at Gulfstream, may be the result of his finally finding a fair track. So, my theory holds, give Conquest Titan a fair track, a contested early pace, and a route of ground to run over and I’m all in. Right now though I’m just hoping he makes it into the race.

If you want an unscientific analysis of this weekend’s Derby prep races, there’s this: the 9 horse field Arkansas Derby has 5 horses on our top 12 (and a 6th Ride On Curlin is just off the list); while the 15 horse Blue Grass Stakes has none. That may or may not mean anything. Oh, here’s the ballots.

The WirePlayers blog is powered by Liege waffles, Caol Ila, and 50 cent Pick 4s. But it’s these fine individuals who provide the true horsepower behind the Derby Dozen:
Brian Zipse from Horse Racing Nation
Rob from Amateurcapper
Derek Brown
Geno from EquiSpace
The Turk
Tencentcielo
Tony Bada Bing from Horse Racing Nation
Paul Mazur
Dylan Jarmulowicz
Andrew Mangini
Melissa Nolan

Share
Posted in Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | Comments Off

Saturday Stakes Action

Saturday offers the best day of stakes racing so far this year. It kicks off early with the Dubai World Cup card from Meydan race course.

Although this year’s edition doesn’t have superstar 2011 Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom, these are some fantastic betting races with horses shipping in from around the world. You could argue the quality of competition at Meydan is far better than that of the Breeders’ Cup aka World Thoroughbred Championship. The best source for Dubai racing information (past performances, handicapping analysis, live racing feeds) can be found at AmWest Entertainment.

Gulfstream Park’s Florida Derby caps a stakes full 14 race card. Morning live favorite Cairo Prince was ranked #1 by our WirePlayers Derby Dozen panel so we’ll get an indication if that honored placement is truly warranted.

The Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds features Intense Holiday, #4 on our Derby Dozen.  I wrote a race preview for ThoroFan here; bottom-line – of the four horses expected to take the most money at the windows (Intense Holiday, Vicar’s In Trouble, In Trouble, and Albano), I believe In Trouble has the best chance to win and the best bet based on the morning line odds. In addition, there’s a few longshots in here (King Cyrus, Commanding Curve, Louies Flower) that could make a strong showing at big odds.

Good luck and enjoy the races!

Share
Posted in Handicapping, Horse Racing | Tagged , , , | Comments Off