Well #2 LATE FOR CLASS (10-1) is something that I’ve been many times in life, but sadly I won’t be playing her in this race. Given how kindly the turf course has played toward speed you have to at least include #5 FUSAICHI PRETTY (9/2). Her daddy was a Kentucky Derby winner and he has sired some nice turf horses like Powhatan County. I think #5 FUSAICHI PRETTY wires this field and will play #12 WALK SOFTLY (5/2) underneath in exactas.
Race 2 – Maiden Special – 5 ½ Furlongs
A full field of maiden sprinters will give it a go in the second contest of the day with likely favorite #2 ON THE THRONE (5/2) shipping up from Gulfstream. He could very well win but I like #1 ESTRELLA CORREDOR (6-1). His prior turf race is the best race he has ever run. I’m not sure he has sprinter speed but jockey Kendrick Carmouche knows Atlantic City better than anyone and at a bit of a price has a good chance.
Race 3 – Allowance – 5 Furlongs
This race might be the hardest race I’ve ever seen at Atlantic City. A field of twelve and half the field looks like they’ll try to break from the blocks and go straight to the front. I landed on #8 SMOOTH SAILING (9/2). He maybe only 2 for 21 lifetime but most of those races were on the dirt and his turf races are far superior. He has speed but should have a perfect stalking trip. His connections (Montanez/Russell) have already teamed up for a win at ACRC this meet and hit at a 25% clip with a smooth $7.85 ROI.
Race 4 – Maiden Special – 5 ½ Furlongs
The majority of this field will be making their career debuts and really anyone has a chance. I’m going to give #5 CAME BACK (4-1) the checkmark over the rest but it’s lukewarm at best. Trainer Alan Goldberg wins at 25% first time on the turf with a $3.79 ROI and CAME BACK will also add blinkers. His first two tries over the dirt have been less than desirable so maybe turf and blinkers will do the trick.
Race 5 – Allowance – 1 Mile & 40 Yards
#1 SWEET ENERGY (9/2) is my best bet of the day. In six starts she has two wins with both coming over the lawn. She will be racing for the first time since last turf season, November at Laurel Park but she has won off the layoff previously and has been working steadily for her return. Anything near her morning line price is an absolute gift as she should roll over this field.
Race 6 – Allowance – 5 ½ Furlongs
Tuesday’s nightcap appears to be a three horse race between #2 ELIDEFEATSPEYTON (6-1), #3 MY ITALIAN EX (2-1) and #10 ALSTON GUNTER (9/2). MY ITALIAN EX has run some great races on the dirt but has only one try on the turf and it was an absolute disaster and at a short price he is a tough to take. ALSTON GUNTER has some speed and ran a pretty good fourth last time out in a stakes race at Pimlico. Finally ELIDEFEATSPEYTON has a good record running on the turf two wins and three second with one of those wins coming last year at Aye Cee. Horse for course is a great angle at ACRC and I’ll box him with ALSTON GUNTER in hopes of ending the day with a trip to the bonanza window.