Upstart the Youths and Fountains at Gulfstream

While some of us are frosted (pun intended) here in the Northeast, it’s warm and sunny down in Florida at Gulfstream Park. Saturday’s card will feature the Grade II, $400k Fountain of Youth Stakes, their local prep race for the Florida Derby. The field of eight can be categorized into two groups, Upstart and all the rest.

Race 11 – 8.5 Furlongs (1 & 1/16ths Miles) Post Time – 5:30pm (Eastern)

Advance Weather: Party Cloudy, 70s

The race will likely have two clear betting choices in #6 FROSTED (5/2) and #7 UPSTART (8/5). UPSTART was super impressive in the Holy Bull Stakes last month, where he drew off in the stretch defeating FROSTED and #2 BLUEGRASS SINGER (8-1) rather convincingly. I played against FROSTED in the Holy Bull and I really cannot see playing him today either. UPSTART has been training well and is the unquestioned horse to beat in this race. Trying to find value horses to fill out exotic wagers however, is kind of confusing.

Starting with #4 GORGEOUS BIRD (6-1), he looked good in an optional 75k claimer on the Holy Bull under-card. Who he beat in that race cannot compare to this field and connections tend to spot their horses aggressively. There were two Todd Pletcher horses in that aforementioned race that were co-favored and did not run a step. Speaking of Pletcher, he has #5 ITSAKNOCKOUT (5-1) but neither of his first call riders (Javier Castellano or John Velazquez) is aboard. Luis Saez retains the mount and will have to negotiate two turns for the first time at a likely shorter than appetizing price. Finally, BLUEGRASS SINGER is probably better going around one turn but ran a respectable third last time out.

My Plays:

Win: 7

Trifecta: 7/4,5,6/4,5,6

Good Luck!

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