Yazan: Steve | 17 May 2012 | No Comments
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
The 2nd leg of the Triple Crown shifts from blue grass Kentucky to blue collar Baltimore. Whereas the Kentucky Derby is Mint Juleps and fancy hats, the Preakness is beer and ‘wife beaters.’ Saturday’s crowd at Pimlico will reflect Baltimore’s intriguingly unassuming quirkiness compared to Churchill’s predictably conformist high-class posers. Neither event is better or [...]
Yazan: Steve | 03 May 2012 | 1 Comment
Categories: Horse Racing
After four months of preps, I’m not sure we have a better handle on what will happen in the Derby than when we started. This isn’t because we haven’t been paying attention, it’s just there’s about a dozen horses in the race that look to have a chance to win. Once you consider horses that [...]
Yazan: Steve | 29 April 2012 | 2 Comments
Categories: Horse Racing
In 137 runnings of the Kentucky Derby, only four Virginia bred horses have ever won. The most recent was SEA HERO in 1993 and the most notable was Triple Crown winner SECRETARIAT in 1973, arguably the greatest horse to ever win the Derby. Arkansas Derby winner BODEMEISTER is considered by some to be a California [...]
Yazan: Steve | 26 April 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Horse Racing
It’s a cliché that history repeats itself. It does, kinda, but not usually in ways that are easily recognizable or predictable. However, it’s still fun thinking about what happened in previous Derbies to see if there are any clues for what might happen next weekend The defection of Uncle Mo just prior to last year’s [...]
Yazan: Steve | 14 April 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
This preview was originally published on Thorofan Saturday’s Grade I Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland Racecourse is one of the last major prep races prior to the 2012 Kentucky Derby. Despite its Grade I status, few winners of the Blue Grass have gone on to actually win the Kentucky Derby (the most recent was [...]
Yazan: Steve | 11 April 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
Our Derby Dozen panel is filled with astute folks that understand the game and appreciate its complex history. But we are not of one mind when it comes to the top Derby contender (i.e., the most likely winner). No sir, 6 of the 12 horses on our list received #1 votes and none more than [...]
Yazan: Steve | 21 March 2012 | 1 Comment
Categories: Horse Racing
Last week I made an annual pilgrimage to Las Vegas for the opening rounds of the NCAA tournament. The direct flight from Reagan National was packed to the gills with 30 year old (give or take) professional males itching to plunk down hard cash at the sportsbooks on a slew of college basketball games. The [...]
Yazan: Steve | 14 March 2012 | 3 Comments
Categories: Horse Racing
New and improved, this edition of the Derby Dozen has three times more Baffert. Perhaps suffering a tongue lashing from the Mrs after being shut out of Volume II, Baffert raised his game. He came back strong to sweep both divisions of the Southwest Stakes and his BODEMEISTER finished a game 2nd in the San [...]
Yazan: Steve | 10 March 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
Gulfstream Park Race 7 – Grade III Palm Beach Stakes ($150K) – 1 and 1/8 miles – Post time 4:05 Though it has a small field of 6, half the entrants in Sunday’s Palm Beach Stakes are out of the exceptional turf sire Kitten’s Joy. The race may also hold the winner of Keeneland’s Blue [...]
Yazan: Steve | 06 March 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping
Horseplayers will have a chance to stack serious paper as Derby Wars offers their first $25,000 handicapping tournament this Saturday. The $25K tournaments will be held monthly with cash prizes paid to 20th place. These are the most lucrative handicapping tournaments available on the internet. I’ve participated in several Derby Wars tournaments via their interactive [...]
Yazan: Steve | 02 March 2012 | 4 Comments
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
There’s plenty of racing action to be had on Saturday from New York, Kentucky, Florida, and California. The best races for 3 year old colts, and potential Derby prospects, may be at Gulfstream Park instead of Aqueduct or Turfway Park. The best betting race of the weekend figures to be the Santa Anita Handicap at, you [...]
Yazan: Steve | 23 February 2012 | 2 Comments
Categories: Horse Racing
Boy how time flies, the Derby preps are heating up and here we are with Volume II of our Derby Dozen. After reading this list you may notice two things: 1) Bob Baffert is not very well represented (or is he?). 2) There are a couple of dudes (and I know who they are) who [...]
Yazan: Steve | 17 February 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
The long awaited return of 2011 Kentucky Derby winner ANIMAL KINGDOM will be tomorrow (Saturday) in Race 5 at Gulfstream Park (2:25 post time). The race is an $80K Allowance Optional Claiming (for non winners of 3) at 1 and 1/16 miles on the turf. ANIMAL KINGDOM (4/5) will face 5 seemingly overmatched challengers on [...]
Yazan: Steve | 15 February 2012 | Comments Off
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing, Our Philosophy
In an attempt to explain why things happen Greek philosopher Aristotle developed an analytical scheme known as the “Four Causes.” It included 1) Material 2) Formal 3) Efficient 4) Final. Aristotle believed his framework had widespread applicability and it may be a useful framework for handicapping horse races. 1) Material – meaning what an object [...]
Yazan: Steve | 09 February 2012 | 4 Comments
Categories: Handicapping, Horse Racing
The best racing card of the weekend arguably belongs to Gulfstream Park. It includes 4 graded stakes; the Grade III Swanee River, the Grade II Hutcheson (the only graded Derby prep his weekend), the Grade I Donn Handicap, and Grade I Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap. Here’s a few thoughts on the entries. Gulfstream Park Race 2 [...]